NFL Week 7 game picks Patriots over Falcons again Pack win

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NFL Week 7 game picks: Patriots over Falcons (again); Pack win! Published: Oct 19, 2017 at 03:53 AM Elliot Harrison There is football on this weekend. Enjoy! Game Picks are below ... Sorry, always wanted to write a concise intro like that. My editor's dream! But it seems I routinely get into the weeds on some topic in this space. So, let's stay consistent ... Today, I'd like to circle . It's a rivalry that's lost luster of late, without both teams being good at the same time. Dallas and San Francisco haven't made the postseason in the same year since 1998. So, if you're under 30, you might not be aware that there were times in NFL history when these two franchises faced off in high-stakes affairs -- several, in fact. While this week's matchup is more matte than glo sy, it could become a whole lot shinier if rookie were to blo som. Perhaps then, he and sophomore signal caller will see each other in the postseason in years to come -- like Troy Aikman and Steve Young. And even their legendary battles merely scratch the surface in the rich legacy of Dallas v. San Francisco: For analysis on all of this week's showdowns, take a gander below. The Chiefs- rivalry is almost as storied as Cowboys- , especially in terms of fights. Redskins- ain't bad, either. Would love to hear your take on any and every matchup: is the place. Now, let's get to it! Buffalo Bills 23, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13 With the prospect of mi sing action this weekend with a bum shoulder, we might be treated to . The revenge game! (You remember: He was a Bill four teams ago.) I don't know if you know this, but Fitzpatrick went Ernest Jones Jersey to Harvard. That education should help him , in Buffalo, with the fresh off a week's rest. Then again, the way this season has gone, Tampa probably wins 49-2. No matter what, this is a game. Give him 25 touches, no questions asked. Meanwhile, who knows what effort we'll get from the Bucs' run defense? , they allowed 7 yards on nine carries to . , ran all over them to the tune of 134 yards and two touchdowns on 26 carries. Bucs head coach Dirk Koetter said Friday that against the on Sunday. Minnesota Vikings 30, Baltimore Ravens 13 Maybe the will shock Minnesota the way . Although, if Baltimore were to win in Minneapolis, I think it would be an even bigger upset than when Chicago beat John Harbaugh's outfit. (Well, the didn't beat his actual outfit. He pretty much always wears dark colors and generally looks sharp -- although I'd like to see more sweater vests from him.) Anyway, the key to this matchup will be if the ' horrid offense can get any movement on the Vikes' defensive unit. Baltimore might be the worst pa sing team in the league. (OK, officially, the ' aerial attack is .) Running on Minnesota won't be any easier. Those guys are giving up a meager 3.2 yards per carry. Offensively, will be fine. He's completing 64.2 percent of his pa ses with a 5:1 TD-to-INT ratio. His pa ser rating is lower than Bradford's (93.1, as compared to 124.4), but some of that is because Bradford dinks and dunks so much that his completion percentage is through the roof. It's misleading. Miami Dolphins 22, New York Jets 16 There might be some ugly football played in South Florida this week. The surely have a bad taste in their mouth after . If can run like he did , this outcome will be totally different than last month's meeting in Jersey. Miami rushed for 30 yards in the 20-6 lo s. Of course, fans are still wondering if will ever eclipse the again. merely needs to play an efficient game and not give up the football. Two picks last week led to 10 points for the opposition. Relevant in , although I still respect McCown and his approach. Back to Ajayi: The Fins are 6-0 when he rushes for 100-plus yards, including a 2-0 mark this season. Los Angeles Rams 28, Arizona Cardinals 21 Going all touchdowns -- and a few mi sed field goals -- in this NFC West matchup. The received quite the boost from . I expect he will get 20-25 carries this Sunday, too. As dominant as defensive tackle is, he's not a "space eater." Wade Phillips' defense has allowed opponents to run wild, while giving up the most touchdowns on the ground in the league. That said, if Fitzmagic can help Tampa come roaring back , scoring 33 second-half points, what will the -- -- do against what's been a generous Cards defense? Counterpoint: As wonderfully as 's developed in Year 1 under Sean McVay, his fourth-quarter numbers are rough ... Quarters 1-3: 101.2 pa ser rating with seven touchdown pa ses and one interception.Quarter 4: 65.2 pa ser rating with one touchdown and two interceptions. Jacksonville Jaguars 24, Indianapolis Colts 14 Going with the Jacksonville defense this week. That's reason enough. The only D has faced that can compare with what the Jags bring to the table -- particularly in the secondary -- is the ' group. Bri sett hung in there during the first half of that game in Seattle, but by the fourth quarter, the ' pre sure got to him, forcing the kind of mistakes that have flummoxed Indy in fourth quarters all season. The result: . This game's in Lucas Oil Stadium, though, which could be problematic for the other quarterback involved. has been bad away from home this season, completing le s than 50 percent of his pa ses and owning a 61.6 pa ser rating. There might have been a joke in there somewhere. What's no joke: . He's the only player in the NFL to score in every game this season, and the first Jags rookie to score a touchdown in six straight games since my colleague on the "NFL Taylor Rapp Jersey Power Rankings" show, . Green Bay Packers 23, New Orleans Saints 20 (OT) Going with a surprise pick here: the Brett Hundley-led . It's a surprise because I've been behind the (SEE: ) and even in Week 1. (That worked out ... .) Feel like Mike McCarthy will get Hundley out of the pocket, building off of what his young quarterback does well. New Orleans' defense will be a focal point -- the unit allowed 13 points over two weeks before . Yes, the totaled 38 points in the game -- two of Detroit's scores came on a punt return and interception. Meanwhile, Dennis Allen's unit produced defensive touchdowns in that wacky game. Will the lean on and the run more in ' absence? When the team has been without the franchise QB in the past, the rushing numbers haven't changed much. Like, . Green Bay has run the ball one more time per game, for 6 more yards, with almost the exact same yards-per-carry figure. I.E., Mike McCarthy doesn't rein it in for his QB2s much. Or, he doesn't help them that much. Carolina Panthers 24, Chicago Bears 21 Not an easy game to call. The have played most teams on the schedule tough. The look to be a quality club, but only seem to fare well when plays well. The franchise quarterback's season has been, in a word, streaky. His pa ser ratings by game: 87.2, 83.9, 43.8, 130.8, 141.8 and 41.5. His worst performance of the season in Charlotte. New Orleans' D: not exactly a shutdown unit. won't run as much as Newton, but the rookie used his legs effectively . He also was only asked to throw the ball 16 times. Lean on , who's averaged 153.2 rush yards per game -- at a robust 5.2 yards per carry -- in wins this season. Lo ses? 47.0/3.2. #justahairdifferent Tenne see Titans 23, Cleveland Browns 17 Well, it's a hobbled vs. starter-turned-backup-turned-starter . The are going to run, run and run some more, but to what end? A bright spot for the has been their ability to thwart opponents on the ground. Putting aside one breakaway scamper , the struggled on the ground. Then again, why hand the ball off when the Cleveland secondary is letting receivers run around like a bloodthirsty pack of pomeranians? Mariota merely needs the protection he was afforded in the second half . He made several accurate throws while standing That's what a bad hammy will do to you. Still much better than the alternative. In Weeks 4 and 5 with mostly under center, Tenne see produced 383 total yards and 24 points in two games combined. On Monday night, with Mariota back in the fold: 473/36. #Ca selmania Dallas Cowboys 26, San Francisco 49ers 20 Looks like , barring some late ruling from the High Court of Minas Tirith. In , Elliott and the offense took over in the second half -- departed with an injury. He's now departed San Francisco -- -- weakening the ' run defense. The Niners , but . If plays out of his mind, the game might come down to being accurate, which has been an i sue on intermediate throws. On that note, will make his first career start Sunday. He'll probably rip up the Dallas secondary in the second half. The ' point diff in the latter half of games is a woeful minus-29. Not woeful: The history between these two teams. If you've got 13 minutes, . Awesome highlights, some of which you've probably never seen. Los Angeles Chargers 27, Denver Broncos 23 Difficult it is, to have faith in the . I don't know why I typed that sentence like Yoda. But now that the sentence is there, perhaps it would take a Jedi master to figure out how and Co. always seem to fall short ju st when you think they're relevant in the AFC West again. Is the home matchup versus the one of those deals? Not if the Bolts shut down and . That might be a pipe dream, though -- this is . Then again, Denver has lost three road games in a row, going back to last season. Speaking of streakine s, Rivers used to own Denver. But since 2011, he's gone 3-11 (dropping his overall record to 11-13 now), while his pa ser rating during that time is sub-80. This covers the Tim Tebow, Peyton Manning and eras. Also covers the John Fox, Gary Kubiak and Vance Joseph eras. Or, simply put, . Pittsburgh Steelers 24, Cincinnati Bengals 20 Not doing it. Much points to the laying an egg at home to the after . But I won't pick against them this week. The have their own to them this week, having played relatively well for three straight games and coming off a bye. Then you remind yourself that these are the . My question: What to make of Marvin Lewis' defense? A few name players are there, but is this group viable enough to put Cincy in the playoff race? The unit has allowed the second fewest points in the league, but four of the QBs the have faced are , (in his first career start), and . and the scored 27 points on them. Not sure what to think. I do know this: Pittsburgh's chances again hinge on and . No, I mean really -- no bull. Those guys account for 64.9 of the scrimmage yards, most of any duo in the league. Seattle Seahawks 17, New York Giants 13 Unbelievable that the and their makeshift receiver corps comprised of WR5s and WR6s played the secondary last week ... and now face the best defensive backfield in football. Through five games, Seattle's famed "Legion of Boom" has been solid, if not as dominant as it used to be. Question is, can make like Joe Morris and run right through the ' front? Could be, as this is where Seattle's defense has been gashed time and again. The 'Hawks are allowing nearly 5 yards per carry. But I don't think Pete Carroll's group will overlook the after . Fun fact: is one of three quarterbacks who have beaten three different teams on a pitch that isn't his own: He's defeated the , and (SB XLVIII) at the Big Snoopy. New England Patriots 30, Atlanta Falcons 27 The Sunday night crew over at NBC will sell this as a rematch of LI, with plenty of hyperbole to make you wish you heard more stories about Jerome Bettis being from Detroit before XL. Ah, can't really blame them. On paper, this a fantastic matchup ... but these are NOT the same two teams we saw last February. The ' offense flat sucked when it mattered. New England owned last year. Does that stat even compute right now? The D . While the Pats showed improvement on that side of the ball over the last two weeks, they played a Bucs team that can't buy a field goal and the (don't really need to add anything colorful to that). Definitely improved? The reigning NFL MVP. 's pa ser rating has dropped 29.8 points from last year -- the biggest plunge among the 24 QBs who qualify in both seasons. Philadelphia Eagles 28, Washington Redskins 22 What an important game -- particularly in the NFC East race. Consider: A) The would improve to 3-0 in the division with a win, while maintaining the best record in the NFC.B) In that scenario, the second-place would be 2.5 games behind the (and 0-2 versus Philadelphia, too).C) At 6-1, Philadelphia would be too far out in front of a team po sibly sans in the near future and a team that might be 1-6 to really worry about either.D) If the win, they'll only be a half-game back with a split in the head-to-head.E) That'd also give Washington two wins with , and either out or at le s than 100 percent. Had this team been healthy, it might've upended the . By the way, is on pace for career bests in pa ser rating, touchdowns and interceptions. His current stat line is 106.4/9/2. Pretty strong. THURSDAY NIGHT'S GAME Kansas City Chiefs 26, Oakland Raiders 20 The need this Thursday nighter. Bad. They haven't beaten the rival since the coming-out party in November of 2014. Kansas City has swept the in each of the past two seasons -- and I think it will happen again. Oakland's offense has been underwhelming. doesn't look right. . The entire aerial attack is averaging just under 200 yards a game, which would be wonderful in 1977. Another thing going against the reeling Raiders: How Andy Reid's team responds after a lo s, seeing how . My main man pulled this sucker out: after a lo s in 2016W-L: 4-0PPG: 28.3PPG allowed: 12.5Turnover differential: +12 This article has been reproduced in a new format and may be Tyler Higbee Jersey mi sing content or contain faulty links. Please use the Contact Us link in our site footer to report an i sue.
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